Yes this applied last week to the Titans and they broke our heart. But you and I have won so many times over the years knowing underdogs who have lost at least seven straight are 198-126-4 as long as the chalk does not have spread winning percentage of .750 or higher.

We also have an angle that says to go with a bad team on the road off a close straight up loss that is 330-236-11 for a very impressive 3.91. It is very rare when the two angles overlap but the winning percentage skyrockets to better than 67 percent at 35-17.

Frankly if Blake Bortles play for Jacksonville, I am not sure that is bad for us. He had been pounded all season long, including last Sunday and is on a short week. If ruled out the line will probably drop below the key number, so I am grabbing it now.