According to Kenpom, Texas is the unluckiest team in the tournament, ranked 325 in the nation out of 351. However, they played the 13th toughest schedule in the nation. Unlucky usually means underrated as they are much better than their record shows. They lost five games by three or less and eight by eight or less.

Butler has much more of an inside presence this year, but that does not bode well for them taking on best defensive interior defense in the nation. Physical teams did very well against Butler, especially pounding the ball inside: Xavier, Georgetown twice, UNC, and Providence.

Previous Butler teams that drained a lot of threes would match up better. But the Horns dominate both ends in the paint. Texas is exactly what we love to bet on this time of the year. They are an underachieving team that has found their groove.