Wise Guy
(MLB) Texas vs. Houston,
Money Line: 130.00 Texas (Away)
Result: Win
MLB Underdog of the Week

The early season underdog angle has been so-so lately (and is about to expire, but has a positive units won through and very much including 27 games played), but even the best angles have some bumps.

Looks like the regression to the mean for Houston hath begun. They have dropped two straight after a splendid start to the season. Colby Lewis has been tough luck, but in five starts his ERA is 3.00 and WHIP is 1.133. Lewis is 4-0 with a 1.73 ERA over his last six starts against the Astros, winning all three of his starts in Houston behind a 1.33 ERA.

Shockingly Texas is +3.5 units on the road, while Houston is now in the negative column at home. The road team is a combined 33-20 in the two teams games.