Here comes the regression to the mean. Houston has lost three straight after a stunning 18-7 start. They take on Hector Santiago who has a 3.14 ERA, 2.70 at home. It comes down to the Stros have been outscored 18-4 the last two games after playing well above their heads.

We also have a great that says to go with teams that are not horrible playing a squad off a blowout loss that is +106.2 units.