Favorites of more than a FG with winning percentage of .250 or less (five losses minimum) are 32-44 against the spread (favors Jags). Bortles to Allen Hurns and Allen Robinson quietly evolving as an underrated passing game.

Ravens without Steve Smith Jr. for year, making first-round selection Breshad Perriman injury even bigger. Of course Terrell Suggs out for year. Jags defense holds teams to 1.0 yards per rushing attempt below normal average. They actually have the best run defense in league in terms of yards per rushing attempt. This should be an upset.