Go with teams in long losing streaks when they are not a big favorite are 105-56. This is very consistent with the fact that the NFL is much more a regression to the mean sport than certainly college football for example.

Yes I will happily bet against the Niners winning two straight road. Johnny Manziel is not going to be a long-term answer for anyone. But he is like your ex that you kept going back to. The first night or two was great until he/she resumed the same old shit. Manziel will take temporary advantage of his latest final chance. He has special talents to give this team a short-term lift.

49ers allow 7.7 yards per pass versus teams normally getting 7.2. Blaine Gabbert has a point of diminishing return and we see that here.