The many of you who have been with me for decades know I hate chalk, but this game personifies what I preach about not allowing biases to talk you out of great opportunities. A poor hitting team facing a pitcher who is not horrid is +204.5 for 9.8 ROI. Another angle that has to do with non-elite teams as large home favorites playing a team in a losing streak is 71.7 percent winners for +133.5 units.