This is a sharp versus square angle meaning our offshore, Vegas, and outlaw sources tell us an overwhelming majority of sharp money is on one side, with a significant amount of square money on the other. We go with the sharp.

In 2015 we greatly tightened the standards to qualify and it has resulted in an even higher winning percentage than ever before. Rare that such metrics benefit favorite.

Also, few angles essentially pretty big home favorites despite being the colder team hit mid-to-upper 50 percentile.