Wise Guy
(MLB) Toronto vs. Colorado,
Point Spread: -1.50 | 118.00 Colorado (Home)
Result: Win
IL Runline Game of the Month

Pitcher with much worse ERA is a very good bet. This is a clear regression to the mean angle to the tune of +322.36. Ice-cold pitchers bounce back as big faves at +121. When both apply, it is +21.7 ROI on moneyline and +28.7 on runline.

Superior home team with inferior pitcher based on STD stats are +116.48