Wise Guy
(NFL) Miami vs. Pittsburgh,
Point Spread: 14.00 | -101.00 Miami (Away)
Result: Win
MNF Game of the Year

Regression to the mean: go with very bad ATS team is 292-205-8. Consecutive road games and road team off a loss is 323-235-10. When both apply, it is 64 percent winners. Winless underdogs are 111-62-5. Go with the much more disappointing defense based on delta points allowed it 321-240-14. Delta points allowed is how many points they allowed relative to the oddsmakers posted team total or implied total based on the odds and spread.