Juicy Lucy of the Week

This is an outsourced pick from the short-list of very entrusted experts. Previously called a competitor consensus, the name was changed to reflect it does not always come from the few quality professionals who sell picks, but also can come from any sharp source. As long as I am not leaning the other way, I will bet a trusted outscource. Bet on losing road teams off a loss and playing an excellent team is up 220.24 units and 10.3 ROI. Anti-splits angle in which we go with road team with much worse away winning percentage than the home team home winning percentage is up 177.45 units and 15.6 ROI and even applies very early in the season, where overreaction is king and a team is playing their first home or road game. Winless away underdogs off a loss are up 40.04 units and a whopping 40.8 ROI. Combo of anti-splits angle with underachieving road underdogs 184-149 for +97.89 units and 29.2 ROI.

Action Network has this line at +152 giving us a 4% EV.