Joe Duffy's picks continue to win and win. We are 59-37 overall underdog moneyline winners outnumbering the moneyline chalk losers 36-9. In MLB, it is 58-35. Wise Guys, we are 21-11 with 29 moneyline underdogs. The NL Game of the Month in the Dodgers led the way last night. The first Wise Guy of the NFL season is among three NFL winners and three MLB from the us.

Now though let's focus on a free NFL winner. It is to take Green Bay (-1.5) to Arizona. Our true line (previously known as outlaw line) is the Packers (-6). The true line is what the line would be without public perception or bad line moves.
We will admit our true line is substantially more effective in the college and pro regular season, but a 4.5 scalp is still very significant in NFLX. Even if Eddie Lacy is out, Green Bay has gotten much deeper and RB and will thrive running against the second and third teamers.

Yes, they do have nagging injuries on the OL, but they have 15 big uglies on the roster, so they still have 9-10 guys to rotate. Even No. 4 QB B.J. Coleman has looked great in practice for the Packers.

Generally we are not a fan of journey QBs in the preseason. As we often say, there is a reason why they are career back-ups. But Vince Young is getting another chance (we have lost count), so look for him to take this game pretty seriously.

Arizona is likely without their top two RBs Rashard Mendenhall and
Ryan Williams. Yes, the Redbirds have rebuilt their offense. All I have seen is a bunch of spare parts led by one of the most overrated QBs of our era. Reports from their camp are lukewarm. Packers in a rout.

The second 6-0 sweep in three nights is up now from Joe Duffy; three NFL and three MLB including the first Wise Guy of preseason.