The Cowboys are playing well and are in a big game in December. That means one thing: they will lose. Chicago has the best starting QB they have had in years. Josh McCown has a 103.6 QBR, which is much better than overpaid and overrated Jay Cutler at 88.4. McCown ranks seventh in the league.

But Dallas has actually dropped 3-of-4 against the spread while winning 3-of-4 straight up, so they have benefitted from good fortune. For the Bears, the duo of Alshon Jeffery and Brandon Marshall have a combined 2,099 receiving yards, the top number of any wideout tandem in the NFL. They go up against one of the most horrid secondaries in the NFL.