Fresno 11-1 straight up but 5-7 against the spread This is because they did not play a difficult schedule at all. Fresno went from being a BCS spoiler to playing on one of the crappiest bowls there is.

USC offensive coordinator Clay Helton third HC USC has had this year with Kiffin and Orgeron. Yes that is not ideal, but bottom line is USC is much better with Lane Kiffin out of the way. Helton called plays after Kiffin fired. Scored seven to WSU under Kiffin, but averaged 30 points per game during its 6-2 stretch under Orgeron

USC holds teams .7 yards per play below normal including 1.2 yards per pass. They are one of the best defenses Derek Carr has season. With five wins by one score, Fresno was very fortunate this season. Not here.