Florida has won their last three games by a combined 12 points. In their last three games, LSU has two double-digit wins and a one-point loss at Kentucky. The Tigers have a huge upside in part because of a freshman that keeps getting better. Freshman Jarell Martin had his sixth double figure scoring game in the last eight contests with a season high of 20 points for the second straight Wednesday.

Florida is overvalued. While the angle of fading double-digit favorites with double-digit straight up winning steaks is not jaw dropping at 445-388 against the spread, it verifies what we always knew, that it is tough to get value with red-hot top shelf teams because they will always be laying a premium. Florida has had three straight games they were taken to the end.