Our power ratings have this a 10-point game. Not only did Syracuse lose 5-of-7 straight up down the stretch but also their two wins before the slump were by a combined three points. They are on a 1-6-1 against the spread skid with five of the spread setbacks by a dozen or more points. This is a very overvalued team.

The Broncos actually have a pretty strong profile. They have a pair of top 50 wins (both Toledo) and an 8-4 record against top 100 opponents.

The Broncos ended the season as hot as anyone in the mid-major ranks. They have won 12 of their last 13 games with the only loss being in overtime to Toledo, who they beat twice this season, on the road.