Atlanta 9-3 the last 12. The Phillies have lost 5-of-8. Cliff Lee in three starts has ERA and WHIP of 5.50 and 1.667. The Phillies bullpen failed them again with a 5.53 ERA this season and seven home runs surrendered in the past 26 2-3 innings.

Craig Kimbrel will be well rested for the Braves. Cliff Lee has had only one strong outing in his three starts. Atlanta is a much better team. It is crazy that they are a big underdog.

Go against a starting pitcher who gives up .5 or fewer home runs per start after a game in which the bullpen gave up four or more earned runs is 916-828, +100.6 units.