Atlanta is 17-6 last 23 +11.2. Miami has lost 3-of-4 and are 8-13 their last 22. In five starts Alex Wood ERA and WHIP of 1.54 and 0.971. Atlanta is 40-19 in the series including 15-4 in Miami, 22-6 going back further

Their last seven games Miami has batting average and OBP of .193 and .264. Braves are 5-1 in their last 6 games as a road underdog. Yes they are facing one heck of a pitcher in Jose Fernandez, but they have won six straight to a starter with a WHIP less than 1.15. Miami has an awful slugging percentage of .287 last five games.