Should be Game 2

Both pitchers would seem to be pretty good go-against. But Boston is back on the right track while Tampa is struggling. Tampa is 1-6 their last seven -7.7 units. Going against a starting pitcher allowing .5 or fewer home runs per start after the bullpen gave up four or more runs is 921-834, +99.6 units. Last five games Boston has a slugging percentage edge of .099.

And with both pitchers struggling that is not necessarily a good thing for Tampa hitters. Rays are 1-10 in their last 11 games vs. a starter with a WHIP greater than 1.30. Red Sox are 5-2 in Doubronts last seven starts to Tampa.