Houston has won four straight and 6-of-8. Oakland going all in on pitching has worked out very well. That is for those fading them. They are 1-6 their last seven (-6 units) and 7-16 the last 23 (-12.5 units). Oakland has lost 3-of-4 with Samardzija (-3.1 units). In their last five games Houston has a slugging percentage of .482 to just .281 for Oakland. Oakland has one of just .311 the last 10. The OBP edge is .373 to .265.

Go against favorites of 175-250 with a starting pitcher who gave up two or fewer runs each of his last two outings to a starting pitcher with an ERA of 7.50 or higher over his last three starts is (+101.2 units).