UL Lafayette is the worst spread team in country but -15.4 points per game. Against actual DI teams they are 0-4 against the spread by 19.75 points per game. It is a big revenge game for Texas State and the parameters changed in their favor.

The Bobcats are much better, especially on offense. UL-Lafayette has not been as good on defense this year, allowing 458.0 yards per game. The Cajuns have to corral the Bobcats physical running game to have a shot. And they've got to get off the field on third down. Opponents are 37 of 76 (49 percent) this year on third down. Georgia State was 9 of 14. Those kind of numbers probably mean a loss against Texas State.

The Cajuns defense allows 5.0 yards per rushing attempt versus squads that usually get just 3.8 and 8.0 passing yards per attempt to 7.4.