Can Matt Stafford enjoy prosperity? His history says now. Having won 4-of-5 straight up including miracle to Saints and playing reeling Falcons is just the perfect situation for him to come out flat.

Detroit has been far and away the top under team in the NFL with their games going under by an average of 10.1 points per game.

Injury riddled Atlanta OL faces Detroit allowing just 3.3 yards per rushing attempt versus teams normally getting 4.2 and 6.0 yards per pass versus teams normally getting 6.5. Detroit on defense has QBR against of 31.8 just one of two teams with one below 40.

Calvin Johnson and Reggie Bush are both questionable for Detroit. Undrafted rookie James Stone is third starting center Matt Ryan has had this year. WR Julio Jones limited by ankle injury for Atlanta. With all those injuries both offenses should be quite conservative only using the passing game if the situation mandates.

We also have a sensation over/under angle of 396-511-14 (over-under-push) that basically says if at least one team has a high points per game against (Atlanta) and they have been a predominately over team, bet that under. The z-score is an impressive 3.79.