PREMIUM
Wise Guy
(NFL) San Francisco vs. New Orleans,
Point Spread: -5.50 | -110.00 New Orleans (Home)
Result: Loss
Point Spread: -5.50 | -110.00 New Orleans (Home)
Result: Loss
This is a Performance Gap Analysis pick.
Based on years of experience, and significant trial and error, we have developed a performance gap analysis. It is based on the statistical hypothesis testing and concludes that yards per rush, yards per pass, and yards per play on offense and defense are most indicative of talent and less variable. They are lead indicators.
Yards per point and turnovers are more affected by random chance or luck and/or more correctable, hence more variable and tougher to maintain. They are lag indicators.
The former is more a precursor to future results than the latter and a dichotomy between the two subsets measures upside/downside.
This says that a team with a bad turnover rate and an inefficient defense is a very undervalued team to the tune of 1176-980-46.
San Francisco is sluggish on offense as Colin Kaepernick has clearly regressed. Three times in the last five games they got 189 or fewer passing yards, inexcusable in this day and age. The Saints outscore teams by 12.7 at home.
Based on years of experience, and significant trial and error, we have developed a performance gap analysis. It is based on the statistical hypothesis testing and concludes that yards per rush, yards per pass, and yards per play on offense and defense are most indicative of talent and less variable. They are lead indicators.
Yards per point and turnovers are more affected by random chance or luck and/or more correctable, hence more variable and tougher to maintain. They are lag indicators.
The former is more a precursor to future results than the latter and a dichotomy between the two subsets measures upside/downside.
This says that a team with a bad turnover rate and an inefficient defense is a very undervalued team to the tune of 1176-980-46.
San Francisco is sluggish on offense as Colin Kaepernick has clearly regressed. Three times in the last five games they got 189 or fewer passing yards, inexcusable in this day and age. The Saints outscore teams by 12.7 at home.
