North Texas vs. Army: Saturday, Nov. 9th
(NCAAF) Black Knights (ARM) vs. Mean Green (NTX),
Point Spread: -4.00 | -110.00 Black Knights (ARM) (Away)
Result: Win
The Army Black Knights travel south to the Lone Star State for this one, where the North Texas Mean Green await. I'm going to be honest, this number sounds all sorts of wrong. I don't think this one's close, and I don't think it's because the favorites protect their home turf.

Army's game is simple. They're going to run the triple option, and if you can't stop it, you're in for a long day. This means some teams with stout defenses aren't great matchups for them. North Texas...is not one of those teams. The Mean Green have yielded, on average, more than 39 points per game over the past three contests. Yes, they can score, but if their defense can't get off the field, that doesn't matter much.

Give me the Black Knights, who lay just four in a game where I think the spread should be about double that.