ASA Free Play Saturday CFB
(NCAAF) Miami-OH vs. Toledo, 12/02/2023 12:00 PM, Score: 23 - 14
Total: 44.00 | -108.00 Under
Result: Win
#311/312 ASA FREE PLAY ON Under 44 Points – Miami Oh vs Toledo, Saturday at 12 PM ET - These 2 met earlier this season with Toledo topping Miami 21-17 keeping it well under the total. We see a similar scenario on Saturday morning. Neither team did much offensively with the Redhawks tallying 299 total yards and Toledo just barely over 300 to go along with 14 punts in the game. On top of that, Miami had starting QB Gabbert still on board and he threw for 202 yards. He has since been lost for the season and the Redhawks passing game has fallen off a cliff with new starting QB Smith completing a total of 38 passes in his 4 starts. Since losing Gabbert they have averaged just 267 YPG on 4.8 YPP. On the other side of the ball Miami has been fantastic not allowing a single MAC team to top 21 points and they’ve allowed an average of just 10.75 PPG in league play. Their conference games have averaged 34 total points. The Toledo defense is also very solid ranking in the top 30 in both scoring offense and YPP allowed. They have held 5 of their last 6 opponents to 23 points or less. The Rockets held this pedestrian Miami offense (102nd in total offense) in check the first meeting as we discussed and that side of the ball has dropped off drastically for the Redhawks. The pace of this game should be slow with Miami ranking 130th in seconds per play and Toledo 68th. And both of those teams have played even slower down the stretch (last 3 games). We go Under in this one.