10* TOP TUESDAY TOTAL ~ 73-58 ALL MLB Y-T-D!
(MLB) Houston vs. Baltimore, 06/22/2021 7:05 PM, Score: 3 - 1
Total: 10.50 | -125.00 Under
Result: Win
This is a 10* TOP TUESDAY TOTAL on the UNDER Astros/Orioles.

I had a play on the UNDER in yesterday's game between these clubs and while that pick unfortunately came up short, tonight's game finally sets up as more of a "duel" in my opinion.

Baltimore has now seen the total go OVER in three straight, while Houston has also seen the total fly OVER the number in three straight as well.

Zack Greinke is 7-2 with a 3.74 ERA, most recently giving up three runs over six innings in a win over the Rangers on Wednesday.

Greinke has now posted 12 straight starts of yielding four or fewer earned runs.

And note, while Greinke is just 3-2 with a 5.27 ERA at home, he's 4-0 with a 2.20 ERA on the road.

Jorge Lopez is 2-8 with a 5.95 ERA for the Orioles, and he's coming off an outing to forget in which he allowed five earned runs over five innings in a loss to the Indians on Thursday.

Lopez has struggled with game-to-game consistency, but I'll point out that the Orioles have seen the total go UNDER the number in seven of their last ten after playing to three or more straight OVERS in a row.

I expect some runs to be put on the board, but not nearly enough to eclipse this sky-high number.

This number is indeed high, the play is the UNDER.

Good luck, NP