Penn State is 6-2 overall coming into this one but I'm not buying into it that at all. The Nittany Lions have gotten the worst from a few opponents thus far as they benefited from a +3 fumbles situation in their win over San Diego State, faced a Rutgers squad that was missing a ton of key guys due to suspensions including their head coach, won against an Indiana sqaud who was without their starting quarterback in the game and Penn State was also +5 in turnovers combined in their two close wins over Army and Maryland, both of which they failed to cover the point spread against either. Overall they've only won just one game this season against a team that has a winning record. Illinois has a big edge in this one as the Illini play in their 2nd game back from a bye week while Penn State plays for the 9th straight week in a row. The Fighting Illini are yielding just 20.3 points per game and 345 yards, down from 456.4 a season ago so their defense is really stepping up. Illinois also beat Penn State last season and also played the much tougher schedule this season. The Fighting Illini are 6-0 ATS in their last 6 meetings in Penn State. The underdog is 5-0 ATS in their last 5 meetings. Road team is 6-1 ATS in their last 7 meetings.