We've got the best Over team in baseball, the Twins, riding a seven-game Over streak and we've got the Royals going Over in 10 of their last 11 games. We get a bonus in this game because the number is only 8.5 based on Danny Duffy having been incredible this season. When he faced the Twins on Aug 21, he won 2-1, but that was against Ervin Santana, who is the only Twins pitcher worth trusting. Duffy was also on an amazing run of dominance at the time. But in his last two starts, he's been knocked around and the effect is his confidence is shaken. Boston knocked him for seven runs and the Tigers got four off him -- two losses, two Overs. That's 11 runs allowed in two games which is almost what he totaled in his previous eight starts. On the other side, Kyle Gibson is about as reliable as it gets lately for Over bettors.