NY Mets starting pitcher Rafael Montero has pitched better than his numbers would indicate, especially lately. Montero has 27 K's over his past 26 innings with a supported 12% swing and miss rate. His unlucky 68% strand rate is the reason his ERA is so high at 5.64.
This is a Mets starter with very good stuff that averages 94 MPH on his fastball. He'll mix in a change and a slider to give him three legit pitches. Throw in a 48% groundball rate and we are getting some very good value in this ball-game.

Homer Bailey has struggled all year. Bailey has walked 17 over his past 23 innings. His 30% line-drive rate would be the third worst in baseball among starters but he does not qualify. This is a starter with a 7.99/6.62 ERA/xERA split that is 0-4 at home at Great American Ballpark with a 12.10 ERA. I'll grab the METS as a juicy dog for our Wins-day night comp play.