Miami's offense ranks 125th in the country in third-down conversion percentage, and the Canes will be without their best running back, wide receiver and tight end for this game. That spells trouble against a Wisconsin defense ranked seventh in third-down conversion percentage allowed, and No. 1 in overall S&P+ defense. Miami will also finally run into a unit better at creating havoc than its own defense, as Wisconsin ranks No. 1 in overall havoc rate. Miami won't benefit from turnovers against a very disciplined Wisconsin team that will use a heavy ground attack. Look for a defensive fight and Wisky to pull away in the 2nd half and this game to stay UNDER THE TOTAL as well.