It's a battle of the best QBs in the NFL and I am backing the home team here. The Patriots offense looked rusty last week and Brady had 0 TD passes.

As a home favorite, Tom Brady has gone 42-27-3 ATS since the 2008 season. Aaron Rodgers, meanwhile, is a much more mediocre 11-13 ATS as a road dog since 2008.


New England is one of the best teams at creating mismatches, and Green Bay is one of the worst teams with coming back from them. Not a good combination.



Green Bay are going up against a New England team that has played well vs most teams this year. As the home team, they have the upper hand here. Green Bay has struggled quite a bit at defending the ball n the air - due to some flat coverage. New England has been good at forcing DBs to jump slant routes when they shouldn't. Green Bay will struggle with the dink and dunk game of New England



New England is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games.