Ross’ MLB 4-Unit Top Play
(MLB) St. Louis vs. Arizona, 04/13/2024 8:10 PM, Score: 2 - 4
Money Line: -106.00 St. Louis (Away)
Result: Loss
Cardinals (Gibson) @ Diamondbacks (Nelson) 8:10 ET
Game# 905-906
Play On: Cardinals -110

Ryne Nelson has made 2 starts for Arizona so far and had a horrible 8.21 ERA/1.83 WHIP while lasting only a combined 7 2/3 innings. That’s even more alarming when you consider the Arizona bullpen has a shaky staff 5.64 ERA/1.79 WHIP over their previous 7 games. Nelson has 1 career start versus St. Louis and that took place last season. It was certainly an uninspiring performance as he allowed 5 earned runs, 8 hits, and walked 3 in 6.0 innings. Despite having a subpar 6-8 record. Arizona is a +1.0 run per game differential. However, that’s a bit deceiving when considering they’re 5-2 versus Colorado (4-10) with a +2.0 run per game differential and 1-6 against everyone else.

Kyle Gibson has gone 6-0 in his teams starts on the road since last season when facing teams like Arizona who have a +0.5 or greater run per game differential. Gibson has made 4 starts versus the Diamondbacks since 2020 and posted a stellar 2.35 ERA/1.17 WHIP during those outings. The St. Louis bullpen has been solid over their last 7 games with a staff 3.33 ERA/1.26 WHIP. Give me the Cardinals on the money line.