One of the key factors is the anticipated return of Auston Matthews to the lineup. Matthews is a game-changer, bringing elite goal-scoring ability and playmaking skills that significantly enhance Toronto's offensive threat. His presence alone shifts the dynamic in the Leafs' favor, providing the team with a much-needed boost as they look to rebound from their recent game. The scheduling situation also favors Toronto. The Lightning are coming off a grueling back-to-back, having played an emotionally charged overtime game against the Nashville Predators the night before. Fatigue is likely to play a role, especially with Tampa Bay's top players logging heavy minutes in that contest. Take the Maple Leafs.