Texas is 1-3 against the spread when they have been 13-point favorites or less. With a lower scoring game expected, the Texas offense has little room for margin to cover two touchdowns. Arizona State’s rushing attack which is one of the best in the country led by Cam Skattebo and will chew the clock and control momentum. Arizona State also has a mobile QB and I expect this one to be close.

I think Arizona St is very under-rated and I'll gladly take the pts on New Years Day with ARZ STATE.