Green Bay has struggled since Aaron Rodgers went down. The Packers have since gone 0-3-1 straight-up and 0-4 ATS. Rodgers is worth about 10 points in my opinion and the Packers just played 5 quarters of football on Sunday in their overtime game and got beat up pretty good. The Lions have been awful on Thanksgiving Day at home for several years now, but most of that was because they were an awful team in general. The Lions have come a long way since finishing last season 0-8. I expect Stafford and Megatron to have huge games on the National TV stage on Thanksgiving afternoon. The Lions also had 5 turnovers last week and their defense is better than people think. This is a statement game and the Lions are 15-5-1 ATS in their last 21 after gaining over 350 yards in their previous game. The Lions roll big time this afternoon over the punchless Packers.