After building the program into one of the nation's elite by becoming one of the toughest defensive teams in the country, Pitt has adapted to decidedly less physical ACC by pulling a switcheroo. Where the Panthers used to plod, now they soar. Pitt is second in the ACC behind Duke (81.6) in points per game (76.4) and first in field goal percentage (48.8) and assists (17.0).
We have a Duke team that is vulnerable on the road such as their losses at Clemson by 13 who is a top 60 team and at Notre Dame who is a top 85 team. Pittsburgh is a top 10 power ranking team and good both at home and on the road. Pitt has a great deal of size which will consistently give Duke trouble, given Duke's lack of road prowess against top 50 caliber teams - and in this case a top 10 power ranking team to boot and with Duke on a let down, look for Pittsburgh to do well here. Duke is 4-10 ATS when facing a team on the road with a winning percentage of 60% at home and the Panthers are 8-2-1 ATS in their last 11 against the ACC to boot as well.

Top Trend I am following: Play Against - Any team (DUKE) after beating the spread by 48 or more points total in their last ten games, top level team, winning 80% or more of their games on the season 121-66 over the last 5 seasons. ( 64.7% 48.4 units ) 12-3 this year. Pitt is the better team here as Duke doesn't play much defense and isn't that agrssive in my opinion and I think Pitt has too much speed and they are undefeated at a perfect 12-0 at home.