I like the Mets in this one tonight. Brad Penny has control issues and struggles in the Heat. Mets starter Jon Niese was on his way to potentially his best second-half start Thursday against Atlanta until hitting a wall in the eighth, ultimately allowing three runs in 7 1/3. Niese has allowed three earned runs or fewer in 23 of his 25 starts -- including four consecutive quality starts. His 3.48 ERA is not overly impressive, but it is good enough to be the second-best mark among Mets hurlers with at least 18 starts. I expect he'll give the Mets a good 7 innings here tonight. Jeurys Familia has been a terrific arm out of the New York bullpen in 2014, compiling a 2.13 ERA over 65 appearances encompassing 67 2/3 innings. He is also on pace to make history, as his 16 holds are the second-most by a Mets rookie. Take the NY METS in a pickem situation tonight.