Flames (LIB) (Away) vs Owls (KENN) (Home)
(NCAAF) Flames (LIB) vs. Owls (KENN),
Point Spread: 26.00 | -108.00 Owls (KENN) (Home)
Result: Win
Liberty at Kennesaw State
Liberty is back in the conference USA title hunt after a bye. Their last performance was lackluster at FIU and failed to cover as a favorite.
Kennesaw State has seen a revolving carousel of quarterbacks. This week, it will turn to Khalib Johnson, who went 5-17 last time out. The team failed to score a touchdown, losing 14-5 to Middle Tennessee.
The undefeated Flames ranks 17th in net EPA/Play behind a and faces an opponent that is terrible by stats in almost everything, including both EPA/Play on offense and defense.
K State is allowing a ton of points to good offenses. I would lean toward Liberty -23.5 (except they are not covering), and now the line is all the way up to 26, so the value has flipped, and I am taking the points with the home team.